Friday, July 4, 2008

Technical Fx (MAJORS) views for week - 7 July to 11 July 08

Eur/Usd
Eur/Usd was sold after not so hawkish comments by Trichet after the ECB rate hike on Thrus.
For this week I recommend selling Eur/Usd on any strength towards 1.5700/ 15730 with a stop of 1.5785/15800.
Eur/Usd seems to be in corrective leg of rally from 1.5340 - 1.5915 with retracement lvls of:
1.5695 (38.2%)
1.5626 (50%)
1.5560 (61.8%)

However any daily close below 1.5680 could lead the Eur penetrating into previous flag formation of 1.5680 and 1.5335.

NOTE: One important observation I made on quarterly Eur/Usd charts is a DOJI formation, that so after a rally of previous quarters. This mite signal a reversal in rally of Eur/Usd. Hence I have a long term bearish view on Eur/Usd unless it convincingly closes above 1.6000.

GBP/USD

A shooting star and bearish piercing pattern on Weekly charts.... making me bearish on this pair.
It has pierced into the previous flag formation of 1.9850 and 1.9700 thus i recommend sell on strengthning of the pair arnd 1.9850/1.9900 with stop of 1.9965. Only a convincing close above 2.0000 would make my view bullish

USD/JPY

Fail to make a reversal pattern of three blak crows on weekly charts. Also, was unable to close below importan support of 105.40 thus recommend buying of the pair around 105.70/106.00 with stop of 105.

I welcome your views and comments

Have a good trading week

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